Incognito, while its true that Sony has backed failed technologies in the past. I think its way too soon to call this match. Especially if porn is your magic bullet. As the biggest segment of the video industry, porn makers are no fools. They are going to be hedging their bets until a clear winner is decided, and I think there is reason to believe that the clear winner will be Blu-Ray.
Outside of the fact that I belive the higher storage capacity makes Blu-Ray the definitive leader in the clubhouse in terms of raw technology, there is also the marketplace to consider. Blu-Ray has an installed base of every Playstation 3 owner. HD-DVD can't say the same about the X-Box.
Take a look at this site. It tracks sales and stock trends on Amazon.com. While its clear that the two sides are in a war, I think that you will agree that the current trend is that Blu-Ray products are generally doing better than their HD-DVD counterparts. To the extent that this trend continues, there is little doubt in my mind that Blu-Ray will prove the victor. You are right, however, to identify the only problem with making such a predicition: Sony. Sony is notorious for trying to squeeze every dime out of content providers using proprietary formats. That being said, Sony has been successful in attracting powerful movie studios. For my money I'll take the offerings of Fox and Disney over those of Universal, but your mileage may vary.
Outside of the fact that I belive the higher storage capacity makes Blu-Ray the definitive leader in the clubhouse in terms of raw technology, there is also the marketplace to consider. Blu-Ray has an installed base of every Playstation 3 owner. HD-DVD can't say the same about the X-Box.
Take a look at this site. It tracks sales and stock trends on Amazon.com. While its clear that the two sides are in a war, I think that you will agree that the current trend is that Blu-Ray products are generally doing better than their HD-DVD counterparts. To the extent that this trend continues, there is little doubt in my mind that Blu-Ray will prove the victor. You are right, however, to identify the only problem with making such a predicition: Sony. Sony is notorious for trying to squeeze every dime out of content providers using proprietary formats. That being said, Sony has been successful in attracting powerful movie studios. For my money I'll take the offerings of Fox and Disney over those of Universal, but your mileage may vary.
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